NFL Fantasy 2018: Love or Hate Week 12

21 Nov 2018 - 5:40pm | Pigskin Ninja | Updated: 21 Nov 2018 - 5:40pm | Likes: 30 Like 
Mitch Trubisky - Chicago Bears

Well. I hope that all the fantasy players out there had the foresight to start every Chief or Ram on your roster last weekend. The “new normal” in the NFL will be more games like that as the league brass will have loved all the talk and publicity that came in the aftermath of one of the most ridiculous shootouts we have ever seen at the professional level.

It would be cool to just plug and play the likes of Patrick Mahomes and Todd Gurley into lineups again for Wee 12, but bye weeks are still a thing and the Chiefs and Rams will be sitting this one out.

Here is the advice on who to run with instead:

Love – Jameis Winston vs. 49ers

The gun-slinging nature of the Buccaneers offense makes their quarterback (whoever it is) with pure boom or a pure bust on a weekly basis. We expect Winston to boom in a big way in Week 12.

Winston is running out of shots to prove that he can be the man in Tampa in 2019. Thankfully for fantasy owners, his need to have a big performance comes at the perfect time as he faces a San Francisco team with a secondary that can’t stop anyone.
The biggest number to know going into this one is that the 49ers have picked off just two passes all season. That should mean a monster game for Winston.

Hate – Mitch Trubisky vs. Lions

Trubisky just isn’t a good play this week for a number of factors related to a shoulder injury he picked up against the Vikings last weekend.

The combination of a quick turnaround for a Thursday game, the Bears having a 1.5 game lead in the division, and their reliance on Trubisky for the rest of the season makes him an incredibly risky fantasy start. Even if Trubisky does play and goes the full 60 minutes, it is hard to imagine that the Bears will be using the full capabilities of their offense and it is likely we will see more of the running game and less of Trubisky making plays.

Running Back

Love – Gus Edwards vs. Raiders

Congrats to anyone who had Gus Edwards on their radar before last week.
The numbers basically make no sense here. Edwards is averaging a super impressive 5.6 yards per carry on the year. This would be good for any player, but it is particularly impressive for a player who averaged 4.3 yards per carry last year at Rutgers in the Big Ten.

Baltimore seems to have fallen out of love with the steady but less than dynamic play of Alex Collins, so Edwards is going to get a chance over the next couple of weeks to establish himself as the man. He gets an ideal chance this week as he faces a Raiders defense that gives up 5.1 yards per carry on the year.

Hate – Adrian Peterson vs. Cowboys

The injuries on the Washington offense are killing Peterson. As if it wasn’t enough that most of his starting offensive linemen are either out or playing hurt, then his quarterback went down with one of the more brutal injuries we have seen in some time (get well soon Alex Smith).

All this means it is hard to trust Peterson to be a viable play unless he hits the end zone. Dallas has allowed just four running backs to score in 2018 and their rushing defense has been on point over the last month or so. There are better options out there.

Wide Receiver

Love – Kenny Golladay vs. Bears

Golladay has been the biggest beneficiary in Detroit after the Golden Tate trade. His targets and fantasy value have been boosted immeasurably, something that will be the case again this week. Make that double or triple if Marvin Jones is unable to go because of his knee issue.

When Golladay gets the targets he produces. In six games on the year with at least seven passes thrown his way, the receiver has either a touchdown or 100 receiving yards each time. Given the lay of the land in Detroit, it is hard to see him with less than seven targets this week.

Hate – John Brown vs. Raiders

The Ravens best fantasy receiver in 2018 shouldn’t be played if Lamar Jackson suits up under center for the Ravens.
Jackson is a special athlete, but he is not yet able to play quarterback in the NFL in a way which benefits his wide receivers. Last week he had 117 rushing yards on 27 carries, bringing the ball down and scrambling time and time again instead of looking for an outlet value like Brown.

Jackson will continue to run the ball and dump long passes to his taller outside targets as opposed to using the former Pitt State star.

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