DFS Tournament 6-Pack: Week 17

30 Dec 2017 - 9:45pm | Roto Coach | Updated: 30 Dec 2017 - 11:15pm | Likes: 0
DFS Tournament 6-Pack: Week 17

This week’s 6-pack won’t be the usual fare, as Week 17 is a brutal slate to try to pin down. Just a handful of teams have something to play for and the updates about who’s in, who’s out, who’s resting, who’s been shut down, and who will play “limited” or less snaps than normal is seemingly never ending. News needs to be monitored right up until kickoff of every game in which you’ve got players, and nothing should be taken for granted this week. This is also the week where analytics and matchups are going to borderline useless in many cases, with playoff bound starters resting on both sides of the ball, unproven rookies getting extra run, and even some veterans being afforded a lighter snap count after a long season. With that in mind I’m foregoing the normal 6-pack format and providing a quick list of guys I think are either interesting or very strong plays on this 16 game main slate at their price point. It should go without saying that this isn’t the week to play heavy with your bankroll. That said, enjoy the final week of the regular season, and as always thanks for being a 6-pack reader this season, and happy holidays!

I’m playing most of my volume on DraftKings this week so that pricing is reflected below.

Josh Reynolds-WR-Los Angeles Rams ($3000): Malcolm Brown seems to be well on his way to double digit ownership this week with Todd Gurley sitting out the Week 17 contest with San Francisco. Jared Goff will also sit, as well multiple starters on the offensive line, as well as the Rams top three receivers-Robert Woods, Sammy Watkins, and Cooper Kupp. Overlooked by many is the fact that San Francisco has been one of the best run stopping units over the past month so this is far from a gimme for Brown. As well as the 49ers have played with Garoppolo under center, they should be able to generate enough offense against a Rams defense that will also rest some starters. Or at least enough to make Rams quarterback Sean Mannion put the ball in the air. Reynolds should man the Robert Woods role in the offense this week and be the first read for Mannion in many sets. Don’t expect big things from Mannion here, but he should at least be serviceable against a 49ers secondary that is still quite poor.

Rob Gronkowski-TE-New England Patriots ($7000): He’s the top tight end play on the slate and probably has the highest ownership, but I still wouldn’t fade him. Because of his one game suspension he enters the week 11 catches OR 116 yards short of earning a $2 million bonus. Why do I think Tom Brady will figure out how to get him there one way or the other? With just the Jets standing between New England and home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, there’s not reason not to unleash Gronk smash.

Ryan Switzer-WR-Dallas Cowboys ($3000): This could be a complete lay down spot for a disappointed Cowboys squad, but it’s still and NFC East division game and the Eagles plan to rest or limit many of their starters on both sides of the ball. That means less of the vaunted Eagles pass rush and a watered down secondary that has already been the weak link in this defense. Cole Beasley will miss his first game of the season this week, leaving Switzer to man slot duties in this offense on his own. This could be a spot where Dallas makes an effort to involve their rookie wideout with an eye toward 2018. He’s also a nice double dip option in DFS because of the return upside, having already taken a punt back for a touchdown against the Redskins three weeks ago.

Drew Brees-QB-New Orleans Saints ($6500): The Saints are looking to clinch the NFC South against a Tampa Bay team that didn’t even come close to meeting expectations this season. That means all hands are likely to be on deck for both teams, with the Bucs playing for pride and Saints the division. This year has been a revelation in new Orleans, as the running game has led the way and Brees has only topped 300 yards passing on three occasions, and is well short of the typical yardage and touchdown totals we’ve come to expect. But this could be a spot where the Saints need to rely on the future Hall of Famer, as the Bucs haven’t been shy about letting Jameis Winston keep slinging the rock no matter what, and this is a Bucs squad that is far better against opposing rushing attacks than opposing passing games. If New Orleans isn’t finding its way on the ground, this secondary is a matchup that Brees can exploit all afternoon.

Jamaal Williams-RB-Green Bay Packers ($5200): Williams has essentially been a lock for 20+ touches with Aaron Jones out or limited, and Jones has already been ruled out for Week 17. The Lions are a solid matchup, and while Brett Hundley isn’t going to do him any favors, the Packers have also shut down Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams already. That means the offense is going to flow through Williams, and the price point is bonkers for a guy that is going to see that kind of workload. He’s especially attractive on DraftKings, where the 4-6 catches he’s likely to post will make him even more valuable. Sometimes all you need in Week 17 is the last man standing.   

Christian McCaffrey-RB-Carolina Panthers ($6700): In another division game with playoff implications, one of the NFL’s best pass catching running backs will face off against the league’s worst defense at defending running backs in the passing game. And it goes without saying that that’s McCaffrey’s forte. The last time these two teams met, McCaffrey had 20 totals touches (5 catches) for 94 yards and a score, a total of 20.4 DK points. There’s no reason to think he can’t post the same or similar numbers here again facing a defense that just allowed 10 catches for 80 yards to the combination of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara.

Good luck this week!    

 

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