Workin the Wire for Week 9

30 Oct 2018 - 2:08pm | Roto Coach | Updated: 30 Oct 2018 - 4:18pm | Likes: 24 Like 
Workin the Wire for Week 9

Quarterbacks

Ryan Fitzpatrick-Tampa Bay Buccaneers: It’s Fitzmagic time...again! After Sunday’s four interception debacle, Jameis Winston was benched in favor of Fitzpatrick, who nearly led the Bucs to a come from behind road win at Cincinnati. The move may be the beginning of the end for Winston in Tampa Bay, though it remains unclear whether Dirk Koetter views naming Fitzpatrick as the Week 9 starter a permanent move. At the time of his benching Winston had committed 9 turnovers since starting his first game of the season in Week 6, and Koetter wasn’t going to give him a chance to make it 10. We can’t pretend that Fitzpatrick doesn’t have turnover issues of his own, but what we have seen repeatedly is that this offense is more explosive with him under center. And that’s important because the Tampa Bay defense can’t stop anyone. Both quarterbacks have spent right about the same amount of time under center this season (14+ quarters), but Fitzpatrick not only has fewer turnovers, but the offense has generated 38 more points with him as the signal caller. The matchup this week against Carolina isn’t an easy one, but this offense is so explosive and has so many weapons that with six teams on a bye he has to be considered in play in all but the shallowest of leagues.

C.J. Beathard-San Francisco 49ers: I don’t feel good about Beathard, and you probably shouldn’t either, but with so many teams on a bye this week I feel compelled to give those who are desperate at the position another potential quarterback. Beathard gets to face an imploding Raiders team that just got smoked at home by the Colts. San Francisco’s offense has struggled of late, but this Oakland team has been helping opponents get back on track all year, allowing more than 34 points per game on average since Week 3. The best way sum up having to use Beathard in Week 9 is to quote Ben Affleck from Argo, “There are only bad options. It’s about finding the best one.” I guess he’s it.

Running Backs

Elijah McGuire-New York Jets: Here’s what I wrote about McGuire this preseason, just after he was lost to a broken foot:

After breaking his foot in mid-July, McGuire is likely to sit through at least the first half of the 2018 season. McGuire showed flashes at times, but was largely inconsistent as a rookie. There’s some wiggle and big play ability there, but for now he finds himself in a crowded backfield on a team in full rebuild mode. His prospects are more interesting if either Bilal Powell or Isaiah Crowell fall flat and seem likely to be cut ahead of next season.

2018 Outlook: McGuire’s injury makes him only worthy of a roster spot in leagues where he can be stashed on IR. Even then, he’ll need to aggressively climb the depth chart in midseason to have any redraft value.

I continue to believe he’s just a guy, but the Jets offense is so injury riddled at this point that if McGuire is healthy that may be all it takes to climb that depth chart. He’s a better receiver than Crowell and we know the Jets want to divy up the backfield work. If he comes off IR this week then he makes a decent add and stash candidate for those desperate at running back, but temper your long term expectations.

Josh Adams-Philadelphia Eagles: With Darren Sproles showing his age and Jay Ajayi already on IR, the Eagles backfield has come down to Wendell Smallwood, Corey Clement, and Josh Adams. Heading into their Week 9 bye, it actually looks like the struggling Clement could be the player phased out going forward. I continue to think he’s dealing with an injury, but regardless, he just hasn’t been able to generate anything as a runner or receiver the past couple weeks, while Smallwood has been better in the passing game and Adams has been surprisingly productive as a rusher. The rookie is a grinder that can keep defenses honest, and he’s what Philly will need to help close out games as the weather gets colder. The Eagles are off this week, but it may be worth grabbing Adams now as running back injuries continue to pile up around the league.

Devontae Booker-Denver Broncos: Booker probably isn’t going to become irrelevant until Vance Joseph and the rest of the Broncos coaching staff is sent packing-which could happen before the season even wraps up. But with Denver intent on dividing the running back work, Booker remains in the mix as long as Royce Freeman is out. His 9 carries for 78 yards against Kansas City had far more to do with the Chiefs putrid run defense than Booker himself, but he’s a good enough pass protector and receiver to keep earning regular snaps, especially with the Broncos coaching staff doing everything they can to keep Phillip Lindsay from a full-time role.   

Wide Receivers

D.J. Moore-Carolina Panthers: Moore topped this list last week, even going against a good Baltimore secondary. He delivered with 5 catches for 90 yards through the air and a couple of carries for 39 yards on the ground. This week Carolina faces the league’s worst pass defense, and eight weeks in it’s apparent that Moore is already the most talented receiver on the Panthers roster. Carolina’s schedule from here on out is as WR-friendly as it gets: Tampa Bay and New Orleans twice each (though the second New Orleans meeting is Week 17 so largely fantasy irrelevant), as well as Atlanta and Pittsburgh. Don’t miss the boat.

Courtland Sutton-Denver Broncos: Last week I had Sutton as a speculative addition, but with reports surfacing this morning that Demaryius Thomas is headed to Houston, you can bump him to the top of the list today. Case Keenum is still going to favor Emmanuel Sanders, but this is a bad football team that’s been getting lit up by opposing offenses so there should be plenty of targets to go around. Sutton has even been productive of late and playing a larger role than Thomas. He’s going to be a cornerstone of the Denver rebuild and his target share is only going to grow as the season progresses.

Keke Coutee-Houston Texans: Demaryius Thomas isn’t quite a difference maker at this stage of his career, but his acquisition does hurt Coutee’s overall fantasy value. That said, Coutee was threatening weekly relevance as the Texans slot receiver and third option so he’s still worth looking to add if we find our the hamstring injury that cost him last week is no longer a concern.

DeVante Parker-Miami Dolphins: At this point Parker is hard to trust, but the Dolphins are desperate for pass catchers so assuming he survives the trade deadline there’s a solid chance that he remains the number one option in the Miami passing game for the remainder of the season. From here on out it will be some combination of Ryan Tannehill and Brock Osweiler at quarterback, which is hardly confidence inspiring, but we can take solace in the fact that he’s playing for a contract.

Tight End

Chris Herndon-New York Jets: The target volume suggests it’s probably unsustainable, but Herndon now his touchdown catches in three straight games so we have to keep considering him. In a week where a handful of viable options are on bye and tight end is yielding little outside of the top options this season, you could do worse.

Jack Doyle-Indianapolis Colts: After a multi-week absence Doyle stepped right back in with 7 targets last week, catching 6 of them for 70 yards and a score. The emergence of Eric Ebron had led many to believe Doyle would be marginalized somewhat upon his return so at this point he’s criminally under-owned across most leagues. In reality, the Colts receivers are just so bad that the team should wind up running plenty of two tight end sets. Marlon Mack’s emergence in the running game also helps here, as Doyle should stay on the field a bunch as the superior blocker to Ebron and could see an additional bump in targets off play-action.

As always, this list is made up of players that are 30% owned or less in Yahoo leagues, and if you happen to be looking at a guy that falls above that threshold or can’t figure out why I left a player off the list, feel free to ping me on Twitter @rotocoach with any questions.

 
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