Season Preview - Outfielders

Examining the top Outfielders for MLB Fantasy Baseball 2018. Season outlooks, projected stats and past stats to prepare you for the coming fantasy drafts. 

Khris Davis, OF - Oakland Athletics Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 567 137 0.242 38 85 103 71 27 1 242 3 5 183 61 293.00 2040.68
2018 576 142 0.247 48 98 123 28 1 316 0 12 175 59 240.00 0.00
2017 566 140 0.247 43 91 110 111 28 1 299 4 6 195 73 342.00 556.53
2016 555 135 0.243 42 85 102 109 23 3 290 1 8 166 42 329.00 352.77

Davis heads into 2018 coming off back-to-back 40+ home run seasons (43 and 42 respectively), and provides plenty of production in the power categories. He's not going to help in the batting average department, as he's hit exactly .247 in each of the past three seasons. And while that kind of average isn't exciting, it's also not the killer low .200s that we often see from some power hitters with big home run numbers. Entering his age 30 season Davis feels like a pretty safe bet to repeat a similar output, helping in home runs, RBIs and runs, but not much else.

Giancarlo Stanton, OF - New York Yankees Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 530 147 0.277 51 107 126 69 26 1 277 3 5 160 76 323.00 2027.88
2018 617 163 0.264 38 102 100 34 1 313 5 8 211 70 265.00 0.00
2017 597 169 0.283 59 123 132 137 32 0 378 2 7 163 85 429.00 810.72
2016 413 99 0.240 27 56 74 72 25 2 209 1 4 140 50 227.00 203.49

Stanton is coming off an epic season in which he led all of baseball with 59 home runs, drove in 132 and scored 123, while his .281 average was the third best mark of his career. Of course, he's no longer in the National League where he won the MVP last season. He's now in pinstripes and will likely hit third in between Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez, who hit 52 and 33 home runs respectively, last season. Staying healthy is always the key with Stanton, as he's played in 125 games or more in only half of his last 8 major league seasons. And playing in the American League should help, as he will now spend some time at DH in addition to the outfield. While we're not likely to see a repeat of last season's home run output, a healthy Stanton could post some truly eye-popping offensive production with the nice lineup bump and huge ballpark upgrade he got in coming to New York.

Mark Trumbo, OF - Baltimore Orioles Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 573 145 0.253 34 81 94 84 26 1 241 1 2 156 48 310.00 1799.10
2018 330 86 0.261 17 41 44 12 0 149 0 2 87 24 127.00 0.00
2017 559 132 0.236 23 79 65 110 22 0 223 1 1 149 42 321.00 302.02
2016 613 156 0.254 47 94 108 126 29 1 328 2 3 170 51 376.00 351.82

At this stage in his career Trumbo is penciled into the DH spot on a daily basis and he backslid significantly last year after posting the best season of his career in 2016. It's possible he's hitting the downslope of his career, but at just 32 years old there's every reason to think he can at least provide serviceable power production in what needs to be a bounceback 2018 campaign. If nothing else, he's a cheap power and RBI source who should get plenty of opportunities in a good hitting Baltimore lineup.

Bryce Harper, OF - Washington Nationals Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 516 156 0.302 38 103 105 87 30 1 264 9 4 119 104 346.00 1735.82
2018 551 137 0.249 34 103 100 34 0 273 13 6 169 130 240.00 0.00
2017 420 133 0.317 29 95 85 106 26 1 248 4 1 99 68 334.00 497.26
2016 506 122 0.241 24 84 86 93 27 2 225 21 3 117 108 299.00 536.15

Despite heading into just his age 25 season this spring, Harper's massive 2015 NL MVP campaign (42 HRs, 99 RBIs 118 Runs, .330 Avg) feels like ages ago. Yes, he's still one of the premier young players in the game, but after struggling through an awful 2016 season by his standards, Harper missed significant time with injury last year, playing in just 111 games. Unfortunately, that's also become a bit of a reoccuring theme with Harper, for as good as he's been through six big league seasons, he's managed to play in more than 120 games just twice in the past five seasons. Still, when healthy you're getting a top tier outfielder who is capable of contributing across all categories, save for maybe stolen bases, where his production has varied widely from season to season. All of this said, if you're looking for a reason to buy into Bryce in 2018, it's worth noting that he'll hit free agency at the end of this season and he has every incentive in the world to make it a memorable one.

Ronald Acuna, OF - Atlanta Braves Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 522 143 0.274 18 63 68 96 25 4 212 28 5 145 37 302.00 1576.68
2018 433 127 0.293 26 78 64 26 4 239 15 6 123 45 205.00 0.00
2017 0 0 0.000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00

Acuna is easily the most promising outfield prospect to come through the Braves organization since Jason Heyward was ranked #1 on Baseball America's list of top prospects nearly a decade ago. Acuna probably won't make the Opening Day roster, as the Braves will look to keep him under club control for an extra season by starting him out at AAA. But even if he only sees around 450 big league at bats starting in May, he's got the power-speed combination to post a 20-20 season with a solid average, even in that sort of shortened season.

Lewis Brinson, OF - Miami Marlins Fantasy Baseball Sleepers Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 515 133 0.258 21 65 71 81 26 5 211 23 5 131 43 279.00 1513.37
2018 382 76 0.199 11 31 42 10 5 129 2 4 120 17 107.00 0.00
2017 47 5 0.106 2 2 3 4 0 1 13 1 1 17 7 11.00 43.89

The Marlin's addition of Cameron Maybin isn't ideal for Brinson, who prior to the signing looked like he'd take over in center field to start the season. Just 23 years old on Opening Day, Brinson was the key piece of the trade that sent Christian Yelich to Milwaukee. Though he had a less than stellar cup of coffee with the Brewers last season, the talent is obvious. While strikeouts continue to be a concern, it's worth noting that Brinson did hit ..349 over 470 AAA plate appearances the past two seasons. Should he make the major league roster out of camp, he's the kind of rare power-speed combo that could put together a 20-20 effort or better, even as a rookie.

Kevin Kiermaier, OF - Tampa Bay Rays Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 528 135 0.256 18 70 64 87 26 4 205 19 6 123 46 292.00 1447.39
2018 332 73 0.220 7 44 30 12 9 124 10 6 91 25 117.00 0.00
2017 380 105 0.276 15 56 39 87 15 3 171 16 5 99 31 248.00 425.17
2016 366 90 0.246 12 55 37 67 21 2 151 20 7 74 40 212.00 422.72

Despite playing in just 98 games last season, Kiermaier did hit a career high 15 home runs, while stealing 16 bases and hitting a career best .276. A defensive wizard, as long as he can stay healthy he should be the Rays everyday centerfielder and hit near the top of the order. All of this said, keep in mind that this is a Tampa Bay offense that no longer has Logan Morrison, Steven Souza or Evan Longoria so he's not going to be hitting in a particularly potent lineup, and so far in his career he hasn't seemed like the kind of player who can overcome that.

Adam Eaton, OF - Washington Nationals Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 533 149 0.280 11 81 56 105 29 4 208 13 10 106 56 335.00 1445.64
2018 319 96 0.301 5 55 33 19 1 132 9 11 64 38 151.00 0.00
2017 91 27 0.297 2 24 13 19 7 1 42 3 1 18 14 70.00 181.63
2016 619 174 0.281 13 88 57 134 31 9 262 15 15 115 61 396.00 696.24

Eaton is the kind of guy who's a better real life player than he is a fantasy assett. He's a plus glove and gets on base a ton, but he's mostly a mid-low teens home run/mid-high teens stolen base threat who won't kill you in the average department. When he tore his ACL a month into 2017 he was producing at a similar pace to his seasons in Chicago, with one exception: runs. Through his first 23 games Eaton had already crossed the plate 24 times and was on a pace that would have landed him north of 140 runs scored. At some point that likely would have normalized, but for a player who never scored more than 98 runs in a season for the White Sox, that's likely to change hitting near the top of the Nationals lineup.

A.J. Pollock, OF - Arizona Diamondbacks Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 551 157 0.285 21 89 67 95 36 5 245 25 5 94 51 341.00 1362.16
2018 413 106 0.257 21 61 65 21 5 200 13 8 100 31 167.00 0.00
2017 425 113 0.266 14 73 49 74 33 6 200 20 6 71 35 260.00 565.44
2016 41 10 0.244 2 9 4 10 0 0 16 4 0 8 5 29.00 79.14

After missing nearly all of 2016 the Diamondbacks eased Pollock back into the lineup last year, giving him regular rest, as he played in just 112 games. This season he's playing on a one year contract and will most certainly hit the free agent market after the season so there's really no need for the organization to hold him back. Even more encouraging for fantasy owners is that last year Pollock was essentially on track to duplicate or better many of his counting stats from his breakout 2015 season. The lone exceptions were in the average and OBP departments, where he should be able to get back on track this season as the DBacks everyday outfielder. The only real question here is the one he's constantly carried as a major leaguer: Can he stay on the field?

Mookie Betts, OF - Boston Red Sox Sn 

Season AB H Avg. HR R RBI 1B 2B 3B TB SB HBP SO BB Pts Roto
2018 (proj) 575 173 0.301 27 103 90 104 40 2 271 22 3 73 64 380.00 1317.34
2018 520 180 0.346 32 129 80 47 5 333 30 8 91 81 309.00 0.00
2017 628 166 0.264 24 101 102 119 45 2 287 26 2 79 77 386.00 755.13
2016 672 214 0.318 31 122 113 167 41 6 360 27 2 80 49 503.00 706.97

Heading into his age 25 season, Betts seems well on his way to becoming one of the better leadoff hitters in baseball. While his averaged dipped significantly last season from his first three years in the majors, the rest of his offensive numbers stayed relatively consistent. There's no reason to think the average won't bounce back, and Betts is a perennial 25 HR-25 SB candidate who managed to both score and drive in 100 runs in each of his last two seasons. It was clear that Boston missed David Ortiz last year, and plugging J.D. Martinez's big bat into the middle of the lineup should help to re-anchor that lineup overall.

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