AFC South

AFC South Season Outlooks

Houston Texans

Season W/L ATS O/U Pass Yds Rush Yds Pass% Run% 3rd D
2017-18 4-12 7-9 7-9 3,278 1,842 57.00% 43.00% 36%
2016-17 9-7 6-9-1 6-10 3,226 1,595 57.42% 42.58% 37%
2015-16 9-7 9-7 8-7-1 3,833 1,731 58.12% 41.88% 39%
2014-15 9-7 9-6-1 8-8 3,352 2,161 48.07% 51.93% 39%
2013-14 2-14 3-13 9-7 3,813 1,743 61.98% 38.02% 36%
2012-13 12-4 9-7 7-9 3,830 2,123 54.11% 45.89% 37%

The Texans have failed to find a solid starting QB the past couple of season, but the Texans believe they got it right by drafting QB Deshaun Watson. Though Watson still needs to beat out Tom Savage as the starting QB and improve on his throwing mechanics and decision making, there are big plans for Watson in the near future. It's best to fade the Texans QBs. RB Lamar Miller and WR DeAndre Hopkins are the catalysts of this offense and are considered elite options at their respective positions. Miller, who signed as a free agent in 2015 with the Texans, earned his money last year, running for a career-high 268 rushing attempts that he turned into 1,073 yards and seven touchdowns. With an inexperienced QB starting under center, expect Miller's touches to increase even more this season, which could lead to a career year for the 26 year-old. He will be a hot commodity in the early rounds of fantasy drafts. In 2014 and 2015, Hopkins flashed his elite fantasy potential the last couple of seasons, collecting a total of 187 receptions, 2,731 yards and 17 touchdowns. However, Hopkins underwhelmed by his standards in 2016; grabbing just 78 receptions on 158 targets, 954 receiving yards and four touchdowns. He has the talent to be a WR1, but the QB situation hampers his fantasy value. Second-year receiver Will Fuller is expected to man the other starting wide receiver slot, but should be avoided as a starter for obvious reasons. He caught 51.1 percent of football's thrown his way and finished the season with 635 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Fuller's numbers could improve, but outside of Fuller, Miller and Hopkins, there aren't any other players on the Texans roster that offer respectable fantasy upside. Last season's offensive coordinator George Godsey was fired this offseason and head coach Bill O'Brien will take over duties as offensive coordinator, so the run-first offensive mindset and schemes aren't likely to change.

Indianapolis Colts

Season W/L ATS O/U Pass Yds Rush Yds Pass% Run% 3rd D
2017-18 4-12 8-8 6-10 2,892 1,661 58.50% 41.50% 38%
2016-17 8-8 7-8-1 9-7 4,200 1,926 60.56% 39.44% 43%
2015-16 8-8 8-8 8-8 3,704 1,438 62.36% 37.64% 40%
2014-15 11-5 10-5-1 9-7 4,894 1,612 62.48% 37.52% 41%
2013-14 11-5 8-6-2 7-9 3,725 1,743 61.06% 38.94% 37%
2012-13 11-5 10-5 5-11 4,128 1,671 60.70% 39.30% 40%

The Colts have underachieved the past couple of seasons, with a handful of exceptions on the offense. T.Y. Hilton led all NFL receivers in receiving yards during the 2016 campaign, receiving a dazzling 1,448 yards and six touchdowns. He's an elite WR1 and his quarterback, Andrew Luck's 283 yards per game was the league's fifth best mark a season ago. Luck will continue to be a reliable QB1 and will post his fair share of fantasy points throwing to Hilton and other young weapons. Luck's favourite red zone target last season was Donte Moncrief, as his seven touchdowns led all Colts receivers. Moncrief has FLEX or WR3 appeal. RB Frank Gore continued his consistent fantasy production, as he reached the 1,000 rushing yard plateau for the ninth time in his 12-year career. Entering his 13th year, some may believe his decline could come sooner rather than later, but drafting him is a must. He will also be involved in the passing game on screens and change-of-pace plays, but Gore will continue to see the lions share of the workload at the tailback position. The Colts' offense fits Gore quite nicely, as the zone blocking run scheme allows Gore to find the open seams and burst through them to pick up positive gains. TE Jack Doyle has become the starting TE and is a fantastic blocker, but offers minimal value in fantasy averaging 36.5 yards per game in 2016. with his Offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski and head coach Chuck Pagano prefer to spread the field and dominate opposing defenses, as the team's total passing yards of 4,202 was tied for fifth most with the Pittsburgh Steelers among NFL teams It's safe to say, the Colts offense and fantasy players are poised for another big season. Stocking up on the Colts elite fantasy talents could lead you deep into the fantasy playoffs.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Season W/L ATS O/U Pass Yds Rush Yds Pass% Run% 3rd D
2017-18 10-6 9-7 8-8 3,593 2,262 60.00% 40.00% 37%
2016-17 3-13 8-8 10-6 3,444 1,703 62.74% 37.26% 35%
2015-16 5-11 7-8-1 10-6 4,108 1,473 65.02% 34.98% 35%
2014-15 3-13 6-9-1 8-8 3,001 1,633 63.50% 36.50% 32%
2013-14 4-12 5-10-1 9-7 3,441 1,260 63.04% 36.96% 30%
2012-13 2-14 6-10 7-9 3,419 1,369 63.98% 36.02% 28%

Jacksonville's offense had rough 2016 campaign, with third-year QB Blake Bortles' failing to live up to his lofty expectations. Bortles tied for the second-most touchdowns in 2015, throwing 35 scores. Last season, Bortles' touchdown total plummeted to 23 while throwing an unsettling 16 interceptions. He isn't the most accurate QB in the world, but he has a cannon of an arm that can provide fantasy owners a significant return in fantasy points. He remains an average QB1 with big play upside. Drafting LSU RB Leonard Fournette with the fourth overall pick this offseason could hinder Bortles' offensive production as the Jaguars haven't had the luxury of a threatening presence like Fournette to hand the ball to, relying more through the air. The Jaguars were in dire need, as T.J. Yeldon and his lowly 31 yards per game in 13 games started will move into a secondary role while 2015 free agent signing Chris Ivory's season was hampered by injuries and finished the season with his lowest rushing total since 2012. Fournette has RB2 upside and one of the top sleeper options at the RB position. WRs Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns are the main beneficiaries of Bortles' strong arm, with Robinson registering 1,400 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns in 2015. Though Robinson only managed to rack up 883 total yards and six touchdowns a season later, he is an attractive option as WR2 heading into 2017. Hurns showcased his big play ability in 2015 when the undrafted free agent averaged 16 yards per reception and offers value as high-end FLEX option with WR2 upside. Doug Marrone is entering his first full season as the Jaguars head coach and has brought Nathaniel Hackett to run the offense. The pair have worked together since 2009 and will implement their hybrid Air Coryell offense, which will simplify Bortles' reads as well as provide a much more balanced pass attack with the occasional option run sprinkled in.

Tennessee Titans

Season W/L ATS O/U Pass Yds Rush Yds Pass% Run% 3rd D
2017-18 9-7 8-7-1 9-7 3,191 1,833 61.70% 38.30% 35%
2016-17 9-7 7-9 10-6 4,307 1,413 52.78% 47.22% 46%
2015-16 3-13 4-11-1 9-6-1 3,503 1,485 61.99% 38.01% 32%
2014-15 2-14 3-12-1 6-10 3,412 1,447 61.26% 38.74% 30%
2013-14 7-9 5-7-4 9-7 3,496 1,894 55.23% 44.77% 41%
2012-13 6-10 6-9-1 9-7 3,323 1,687 60.50% 39.50% 37%

The Titans days of rebuilding are over and the team played displayed plenty of heart and playmaking ability, which has many fantasy owners excited about their fantasy outlook. QB Marcus Mariota is entering his third-season as a professional and will continue to lead this Titans offense for years to come. Mariota started in 15 games for the Titans last season, racking up 3,426 passing yards to go along with a 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He lacks a strong arm, but makes up for it with an accurate arm and quick feet to get him out of trouble. He's a low-end QB1 with added value in deep fantasy leagues. The Titans will continue to throw the ball in order to open up the field, but the team's biggest weapon is in their backfield. RB DeMarco Murray finished 3rd last season in rushing yards (1,287) and ended the season with the second-most touches. Murray is likely to be one of the first RBs off the board and is definitely viewed as an elite RB1. Tennessee's depth at wide receiver is rather thin, as Eric Decker and Rishard Matthews enter camp as Mariota's best passing options. They drafted Corey Davis with a first-round draft pick, but he's not expected to be an impact for a couple of years. Decker has spent the past three seasons with the Jets, piling up 2,183 yards and just two touchdowns. Decker has WR2 appeal while Matthews was one of the breakout fantasy players on the Titans, ending the season with a terrific 65/945//9 stat-line. He possesses break away speed and was targeted by QBs 108 times. Head coach Mike Mularkey and offensive coordinator Terry Robiskie will look to pick up where they left off as an offense, implementing a balanced yet efficient run game.

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