Buffalo Bills

Season W/L ATS O/U Pass Yds Rush Yds Pass% Run% 3rd D
2016-17 7-9 6-10 12-4 3,582 2,130 51.38% 48.62% 41%
2015-16 8-8 8-7-1 8-8 3,343 2,432 49.90% 50.10% 38%
2014-15 9-7 9-7 3-10 3,614 1,482 60.59% 39.41% 37%
2013-14 6-10 7-9 9-7 3,103 2,307 51.08% 48.92% 33%
2012-13 6-10 8-8 3,269 2,217 55.04% 44.96% 39%

Season Outlook

The Bills possessed the league's best run offense, with bell-cow RB LeSean McCoy proving his worth as an elite fantasy contributor, registering 1,267 rushing yards, 13 touchdowns and a sparkling 84.5 yards per game. He's a first-round draft pick in almost every fantasy format and the catalyst of the Bills offense. New offensive coordinator Rick Dennison brings with him a run-first offense and plenty of play action fakes, opening the field in both the passing game and running game. Not only does the Dennison hire add value to McCoy in fantasy, but the scrambling Tyrod Taylor could rebound from a rather woeful 2016 campaign. Taylor has a specific skill set and the ability to throw on the run outside of the pocket. Expect a healthy mix of bootlegs and passes behind the linebackers to open the big plays down the field to WR Sammy Watkins. Watkins started in just eight games last season, registering just 28 receptions for 356 yards. When healthy, Watkins is a must-start in fantasy, totalling 2,029 yards and 15 touchdowns on 125 receptions during his first two seasons. He is the primary target in the Bills passing game and the only receiver worth drafting in fantasy, with last season's leader in receiving yards Robert Woods bolting to the Los Angeles Rams. WRs Brandon Tate and Andre Holmes are expected to battle for the other starting job at WR, with Corey Brown and Corey Washington the dark horses to keep an eye on throughout training camp. Don't expect any of these receivers to have an immediate fantasy impact, instead, look to TE Charles Clay. His fantasy appeal has increased due to Woods' departure and is in line for a heavier workload.

Player Outlooks & Draft Analysis

Quarterbacks

Tyrod Taylor Bust

A dual threat quarterback, Taylor makes up for some of his physical limitations in the passing game with the ability to evade pressure, as well as to tuck it and run. Despite solid back-to-back seasons for the Bills, Buffalo remains non-committal on Taylor's long-term prospects with the franchise. There is also a new regime that may not see Taylor as the ideal fit for the new offensive scheme. Essentially, he's playing for his Buffalo and NFL future this season. T.J. Yates was brought in for his experience with new Offensive Coordinator, Rick Dennison's system and the Bills drafted Nathan Peterman for both his NFL-readiness as well as his fit. Taylor owners may need to be patient if he doesn't get off to a strong start, but in a quarterback-starved league he's going to get a shot as a starter somewhere next year even if things don't work out in Buffalo.

Nathan Peterman

Peterman isn't a high upside prospect, but he was widely considered the most pro-ready quarterback coming into the draft. And even though he was a fifth round selection it would take a colossal bust of a camp for him to not make the roster this season. We've now watched the Bills and Tyrod Taylor do the same dance for three straight offseasons, and it's pretty clear Taylor and the franchise don't see eye-to-eye on his NFL value, despite a couple solid seasons as the starter. The new regime appears to have little confidence that Cardale Jones ever grows into an NFL caliber quarterback and T.J. Yates is locked into a backup/de facto coaching role with his former offensive coordinator. If Taylor falters at all we could see snaps from Peterman this season. And even if that doesn't happen the Bills may let Taylor walk, in which case Peterman could have a real chance at the starting job as early as next year.

Running Backs

LeSean McCoy

Still just 29 years old, McCoy finds himself in a new offensive system that is expected to utilize him similarly to the last one in the run game, but will likely see him threaten 60+ receptions out of the backfield. Heading into his ninth NFL season, McCoy has already logged a monster workload in his career so it's only natural to assume that at some point in the not too distant future he will start to break down. Both the Bills and fantasy owners hope this won't be that season, as the cupboard is essentially bare behind him. Last year's fifth round pick, Jonathan Williams, leads a depth chart that boasts just 50 NFL carries collectively. If he can stay healthy then McCoy is potentially in for a huge season, but it wouldn't be surprising if Buffalo is in the market for an heir apparent next offseason.

Wide Receivers

Kelvin Benjamin Injury Update

Coming off an ACL tear suffered in the 2015 preseason, Benjamin looked outstanding early on last year. But like much of the rest of the Panthers offense, he essentially disappeared as the season wore on. This offseason most of the conversation about the big receiver has centered around his weigh ins at OTAs. While he did manage to drop some of the weight over the summer and in training camp, he continues to be plagued by inconsistency. At 6'5" and nearly 250 pounds, Benjamin looks dominant at times, particularly after the catch when he's manhandling defensive backs in the open field. But he's also nonexistent or looks disinterested at times when you'd expect him to take over games. Consistency and focus are the keys for him, and as of right now he's a WR2/3 for dynasty purposes.

Zay Jones Injury Update Top Rookies

The trade of Sammy Watkins to Los Angeles and the abrupt retirement of Anquan Boldin opens the door for Jones to make his mark as a rookie. Yes, Jordan Matthews is now in town and the "number one" option, but his durability concerns persist and in the final year of his contract he was more of a dice roll for a team that needed receiver help. He's also going to run out of the slot, while Jones projects to spend plenty of time outside. An elite athlete, he put up an eye-popping 158 receptions as a senior at East Carolina last year, but was vastly underrated due to the short average depth of target. Rest assured that it had more to due with his quarterback and the offense he was playing with, and he'll be able to get open downfield in the NFL. He's in for a large rookie year workload, but this is still going to be a run-heavy offense so temper the early expectations. That said he's in a pretty ideal spot for both redraft and dynasty purposes.

Jordan Matthews

With a logjam at receiver the Eagles needed to get rid of Matthews, as he was heading into the final year of his contract with Philly. As a rookie he looked like a budding star. And then when Jeremy Maclin left for Kansas City he stepped into the WR1 role and had his best season as a pro. But last year was a disaster, marred by injury and inconsistency. Despite ideal size, Matthews lacks elite speed and has been a far better receiver out of the slot than anywhere else over the course of his career. The sudden retirement of Anquan Boldin should see him slide into the slot permanently as he heads into a make or break it season in a run-heavy Buffalo offense looking for his next contract.

Tight Ends

Charles Clay Rising Stock Bust

Clay entered the league as a fullback for the Miami Dolphins in 2011 before turning into a full-time tight end in 2013. Clay exploded offensively during his first full season at the tight end position, shocking the football world with 759 yards while being targeted 102 times. Clay has been a top-20 fantasy tight end over the last four seasons, but hasn't been able to match the production of his 2013 career season with the Dolphins. The Buffalo Bills have a lack of reliable options in the passing game, which increases Clay's value, but the low-volume of targets since joining the Bills has scared fantasy owners away from selecting him as a starting tight end. The Bills ownership group made significant changes to the coaching staff this offseason, bringing Panthers offensive coordinator Sean McDermott, who loved to utilize TE Greg Olsen down the field. Clay has only scored seven touchdowns since signing with the Bills as a free agent in 2015 and lacks TE1 upside but could offer some value as a backup TE.

Kickers

Steven Hauschka

Hauschka has spent the majority of his kicking career in Seattle, pounding 88.8 percent of his field goals attempted through the uprights. He will look to solidify the Bills kicking situation after the team ranked a lowly 28th in field goals made with just 19. Hauschka's range is among the best in the league, as he has been perfect from beyond 50 yards the past two seasons despite only seeing one attempt a season ago. At the age of 32, he still has plenty of years in the league left in him. The Bills have finally found a kicker they can trust sending out to make game-winning field goals and should have himself another season worthy of K1 recognition.

Defenses

Buffalo Defense

The Bills suffered a huge blow to their defense this offseason, as top-CB Gilmore bolted to New England, leaving Ronald Darby and 2017 first-rounder Tre'Davious White the expected starters in a revamped secondary consisting of three rookies, including White. Up front, the Bills were able to keep their terrifying quartet of defensive linemen intact as Shaq Lawson, Marcell Dareus, Kyle Williams and Jerry Hughes are set to wreak havoc yet again in the backfield of opposing team's offenses. When healthy and at their best, it's extremely difficult to stop these four from taking over a game. The team ranked eighth in sacks with 39 and finished fourth in total tackles, registering 1,110. With Sean McDermott taking over the reigns in Buffalo as their new head coach and a fresh look on defense with Leslie Frazier, it will be an uphill climb for the Bills. If they want to make a push for the playoffs, the defense must to be the heart and soul of the team. The special team's unit totaled the third most yards in the NFL and with returner Brandon Tate signing a one-year deal this offseason, it's unlikely his production will decline.

Player Updates

Player Update LeSean McCoy, RB - McCoy (ankle) expected to play vs. Jaguars
5 Jan 2018 - 3:13pm

LeSean McCoy (ankle) is questionable for Sunday's Wild Card game against the Jaguars. - From Rotoworld.

Injury Update LeSean McCoy, RB - Bills confirm 'chance' McCoy plays Sunday
1 Jan 2018 - 3:03pm

Bills coach Sean McDermott confirms there's a "chance" LeSean McCoy (ankle) is ready for the Wild Card Round against the Jaguars on Sunday. - From Rotoworld.

Player Update Tyrod Taylor, QB - Bills confirm Tyrod Taylor will start Wk 15
15 Dec 2017 - 1:04pm

Coach Sean McDermott announced Tyrod Taylor will start Week 15 against the Dolphins. - From Rotoworld.

Player Update Nathan Peterman, QB - Bills to give rookie Peterman another start
10 Dec 2017 - 12:42am

ESPN's Adam Schefter confirms the Bills are expected to start Nathan Peterman on Sunday against the Colts. - From Rotoworld.

Injury Update Kelvin Benjamin, WR - Kelvin Benjamin (knee) out Week 12 vs Chiefs
25 Nov 2017 - 1:05pm

Kelvin Benjamin (knee) is out for Week 12 against the Chiefs. - From Rotoworld.

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