Houston Texans

Season W/L ATS O/U Pass Yds Rush Yds Pass% Run% 3rd D
2016-17 9-7 6-9-1 6-10 3,226 1,595 57.42% 42.58% 37%
2015-16 9-7 9-7 8-7-1 3,833 1,731 58.12% 41.88% 39%
2014-15 9-7 9-6-1 8-8 3,352 2,161 48.07% 51.93% 39%
2013-14 2-14 3-13 9-7 3,813 1,743 61.98% 38.02% 36%
2012-13 12-4 9-7 7-9 3,830 2,123 54.11% 45.89% 37%

Season Outlook

The Texans have failed to find a solid starting QB the past couple of season, but the Texans believe they got it right by drafting QB Deshaun Watson. Though Watson still needs to beat out Tom Savage as the starting QB and improve on his throwing mechanics and decision making, there are big plans for Watson in the near future. It's best to fade the Texans QBs. RB Lamar Miller and WR DeAndre Hopkins are the catalysts of this offense and are considered elite options at their respective positions. Miller, who signed as a free agent in 2015 with the Texans, earned his money last year, running for a career-high 268 rushing attempts that he turned into 1,073 yards and seven touchdowns. With an inexperienced QB starting under center, expect Miller's touches to increase even more this season, which could lead to a career year for the 26 year-old. He will be a hot commodity in the early rounds of fantasy drafts. In 2014 and 2015, Hopkins flashed his elite fantasy potential the last couple of seasons, collecting a total of 187 receptions, 2,731 yards and 17 touchdowns. However, Hopkins underwhelmed by his standards in 2016; grabbing just 78 receptions on 158 targets, 954 receiving yards and four touchdowns. He has the talent to be a WR1, but the QB situation hampers his fantasy value. Second-year receiver Will Fuller is expected to man the other starting wide receiver slot, but should be avoided as a starter for obvious reasons. He caught 51.1 percent of football's thrown his way and finished the season with 635 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Fuller's numbers could improve, but outside of Fuller, Miller and Hopkins, there aren't any other players on the Texans roster that offer respectable fantasy upside. Last season's offensive coordinator George Godsey was fired this offseason and head coach Bill O'Brien will take over duties as offensive coordinator, so the run-first offensive mindset and schemes aren't likely to change.

Player Outlooks & Draft Analysis

Quarterbacks

Deshaun Watson Rising Stock

When surveying the rookie quarterback landscape, Watson easily finds himself in the best landing spot of this year's class. The Texans have gone to the playoffs in back to back seasons despite lacking a legitimate NFL signal caller, which made moving up in the first round to take Watson a logical choice for Houston. While Watson may not have the same ceiling as some of the other quarterbacks in the 2017 class, he has the experience and resume to compete for the starting job from day one. The expectation is that Texans could very well roll with Tom Savage under center to open the season, but he's not the long term solution. And although Watson does need to improve some areas of his game, the former Clemson quarterback did lead his team to the National Championship game in each of the past two season, helping the Tigers to capture their second National Title in school history this past season. He should get his shot this season, and if he plays well he's going to hang onto the job for a long time.

Tom Savage

All signs point to Savage starting the season as the Texans quarterback, but it's difficult to envision a scenario where he hangs onto the job for the entire year. Still, this is a Texans team that has perennially made the playoffs with a cast of characters at the quarterback position so they aren't going to rush Deshaun Watson into the role until he's ready. Although Savage has been adequate in limited duties over the past couple seasons, he profiles merely as a game manager with little to no fantasy upside. He may be worth a flyer in 2017 given the offensive talent around him, but his ceiling is probably something in the Alex Smith-type range this season, and a backup role beyond that.

Running Backs

Lamar Miller Bust

Heading into last season Lamar Miller looked poised to finally make the leap to "bell cow" back when he signed with Houston in the offseason. And while the touches were there for Miller, the running room just wasn't. By the second month of the season teams had figured out that Brock Osweiler wasn't a very good quarterback, and that loading up the box and making Osweiler beat them with his arm was a sound strategy for attacking the Houston offense. The bump in carries also wore on Miller as the season went on, and he ultimately missed Weeks 16 and 17 with an ankle injury. The Texans also added third round rookie, D'Onta Foreman to the backfield as well. More of a plodder than Miller, Foreman should mix in enough as a change of pace to actually help Miller be more productive with his touches, which should drop off just a little from the 21+ per game he averaged in 2016.

D'Onta Foreman Injury Update

With such bad quarterback play from Brock Osweiler last season, the Texans leaned heavily on Lamar Miller from the jump. And the results were less than fantastic, as Houston's new feature back wore down quickly and missed the final two games of the season with injury. Enter third round pick D'onta Foreman, who was brought in as an upgrade over current backup running back Alfred Blue. While Blue hasn't been bad, he's in the final year of his rookie deal and just doesn't have the upside of a player like Foreman. But Foreman doesn't come into Texans camp without his own warts. Pass protection and ball security are known issues, and many would like to see the 235 pound back run with more authority and thump, as despite his size he had a tendency to dance a little too much. The battle between Blue and Foreman is one to keep an eye on, given the amount of running the Texans are expected to do this season. Long term Foreman should be able to capture the backup role for Houston and could see some added goalline and short yardage work.

Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins

After a huge 2015 campaign, Hopkins 2016 season was forgettable. But frankly, given the way that Brock Osweiler played in Houston, that was to be expected. Even playing with Osweiler for most of the season, Hopkins still nearly topped a thousand yards, but the touchdowns were few and far between and the week to week production on the season was hardly what fantasy owners paid for. So far Tom Savage has looked adequate as a starter and should prove to be an upgrade for Hopkins. The same can probably be said of quarterback heir apparent, Deshaun Watson as well. Hopkins should be able to put 2016 behind him and return to form with either signal caller under center. Still just 25 years old, he s also playing for a new contract and has expressed a desire to stay in Houston. After surviving last season, Hopkins dynasty arrow is pointing up.

Will Fuller Injury Update

While his dynasty stock hasn't taken a huge hit, 2017 looks to be a bit of a lost year for Fuller. A broken collarbone suffered in camp is likely to cost him at least the first half of the season. Fuller burst onto the scene in his rookie year with a big first month, but poor quarterback play, inconsistency, and drops plagued him from that point on. A lanky receiver who relies on his tremendous speed, Fuller is a nice complement to DeAndre Hopkins. But the missed time, the development of Braxton Miller and Jaelen Strong's solid camp cloud the future a bit for Fuller. With the Texans employing a run heavy offense and looking to lean on their defense, Fuller is going to have a difficult time producing consistently, and profiles as big play threat with boom-bust fantasy potential from week to week.

Tight Ends

C.J. Fiedorowicz

When Thomas started for the Denver Broncos, the undrafted free agent flourished when former QB Peyton Manning was throwing his way. During 14 games in 2014 with the Broncos, Thomas caught 72 percent of footballs thrown his way, which led to 788 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. The following season, Thomas only received for 489 yards but still made his presence known in the red zone, recording another 12 touchdowns for the Broncos. In two years as the Jacksonville Jaguars starter, Thomas has flamed out, starting just 17 games and racking up a porous 736 yards. In fairness to him, he only suited up for nine games last season with the cellar dwelling Jaguars Thomas will provide QB Ryan Tannehill with yet another downfield option and a security blanket, but beware, because the only success he has ever had in the NFL is when future hall-of-fame QB Manning was delivering him the ball.

Defenses

Houston Defense

A healthy J.J. Watt will immediately increase the draft stock of the Texans, however, until his status for the upcoming season is confirmed, they fall outside of the top-3 DEF/ST heading into 2017. Nevertheless, they are still more than capable of terrorizing opposing offenses without their perennial sacks leader. Their 3-4 scheme has been built around a terrific linebacking corps consisting of Jadeveon Clowney, Whitney Mercilus, Brian Cushing (when healthy) and the rising Benardrick McKinney, a former second-round pick of the Texans. They allowed the least amount of yards with 301.3 yards allowed per game last season. A lot of that credit goes to defensive mastermind Romeo Crennel, who will be returning as the team's defensive coordinator for a third season. The Texans have been known to reward fantasy owners with a healthy production of defensive points and their return game lacked dominance last season averaging just 18.6 yards per kick off return and 10.9 yards per punt return while allowing a dreadful 1,612 total yards. Nevertheless, their defense produces enough fantasy points to overlook the lowly return game.

Player Updates

Injury Update Bruce Ellington, WR - Bruce Ellington expected to miss Week 14
5 Dec 2017 - 4:20pm

Texans coach Bill O'Brien expects Bruce Ellington (hamstring) to miss Week 14. - From Rotoworld.

Injury Update Will Fuller, WR - Will Fuller expected to miss another week
24 Nov 2017 - 6:27pm

Will Fuller (ribs) is not expected to play in Week 12 against Baltimore. - From Rotoworld.

Player Update Andre Ellington, RB - Texans claim Andre Ellington off waivers
21 Nov 2017 - 5:24pm

Texans claimed RB Andre Ellington off waivers from the Cardinals. - From Rotoworld.

Player Update Will Fuller, WR - O'Brien expects Will Fuller to miss Week 11
15 Nov 2017 - 7:41pm

Texans coach Bill O'Brien said he expects Will Fuller (ribs) to miss Week 11 against the Cardinals. - From Rotoworld.

Injury Update Will Fuller, WR - Fuller has cracked ribs, likely out Week 11
13 Nov 2017 - 12:44pm

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports Will Fuller suffered cracked ribs Sunday against the Rams. - From Rotoworld.

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